Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 18.505562 21.104329 23.941295 27.269011 31.066773 35.267540 40.269091
2024-10-13 14.833477 18.213149 22.183681 27.195862 33.360273 40.702502 50.125261
2024-10-20 11.774204 15.451866 20.068258 26.295807 34.491903 44.931916 59.276619
2024-10-27 9.625612 13.443620 18.542561 25.863248 36.131413 50.063885 70.480726
2024-11-03 8.287979 12.280350 17.935487 26.551059 39.392023 57.899322 86.745302
2024-11-10 7.282958 11.415226 17.605766 27.586092 43.349256 67.417985 107.216610
2024-11-17 6.258763 10.346533 16.804365 27.790598 46.126578 75.705805 127.455786
2024-11-24 5.198454 9.037295 15.414120 26.829408 46.905043 81.026533 144.018002
2024-12-01 4.339186 7.913104 14.140166 25.841679 47.474083 86.121522 161.232420
2024-12-08 3.750976 7.160970 13.380433 25.624856 49.373068 93.885176 184.788559
2024-12-15 3.319107 6.620657 12.912132 25.864786 52.171904 103.809479 214.424724
2024-12-22 2.926788 6.087640 12.368360 25.863784 54.509960 113.281559 245.087204
2024-12-29 2.667442 5.790380 12.266654 26.804493 59.089914 128.400239 291.337004
2025-01-05 2.368498 5.356554 11.812548 26.927391 61.986471 140.612039 334.044061
2025-01-12 2.046631 4.813666 11.031403 26.187205 62.839239 148.558834 368.870406
2025-01-19 1.803788 4.406261 10.480331 25.875176 64.641722 159.072227 412.307470
2025-01-26 1.661341 4.211780 10.390034 26.660779 69.294616 177.388199 479.662075
2025-02-02 1.552118 4.079482 10.427441 27.781087 75.049500 199.669456 562.719931
2025-02-09 1.411586 3.840542 10.156488 28.052150 78.644919 217.132978 636.796760
2025-02-16 1.235824 3.474691 9.491602 27.131893 78.804637 225.411426 686.731262
2025-02-23 1.082488 3.141862 8.855882 26.171337 78.668499 232.886828 736.249483
2025-03-02 0.977417 2.926909 8.508469 25.982111 80.785814 247.397645 811.225616
2025-03-09 0.899785 2.778170 8.324131 26.249894 84.375391 267.145463 908.053588